- It is not a mystery, China will have the world's largest economy.
It will be 50 percent bigger than the U.S., the second, and twice than India in third place.
- The current dominant triangle: USA, Japan and Germany, will be replaced by five Asian superpowers: China, India, Japan, Korea and Indonesia.
Among industrialized nations, the U.S. will remain the largest, with Europe and Japan far.
What can be cause of death and new remedies
70 per cent of deaths will occur in non-communicable diseases such as cancer, heart problems and diabetes.
The largest increase was seen in cancer (7.8 million annually to 10.8) and AIDS (2.8 million to 6.4).
Also deaths from accidents will increase (especially those in transit, particularly in developing countries), while infectious diseases like malaria and tuberculosis will be reduced due to greater access to vaccines.
- The lung problems and chronic respiratory disease take relevance as causes of mortality.
- The cigarette will kill 8.3 million people in 2030 (now kills 5 million).
- Infant mortality will be reduced from 51 per thousand children born to 27.
- The list of major diseases will be completely different.
AIDS ranks first globally, followed by depression and heart problems.
- Alzheimer's, other dementias and alcoholism also will increase. Cigarette, diets rich in calories and physical inactivity will become risk factors, especially in developed nations.
- Today, 85.8 percent of the population adheres to any religion, that figure will reach 88.1 percent in 2030.
- Christianism will be 33 percent , Islam 25 percent and Hinduism will be located in third place.
- The religion that will grow faster will be Islam.
Without water and with hurricanes
- Temperature will rise between 0.5 and 1.5 degrees Celsius and the level of the oceans will rise between 6 and 11 centimetres as a result of global warming.
- We will see more storms, cyclones, tornadoes, hurricanes, droughts and floods.
- The growing use of soil and climate change will produce the extinction of between 21 percent and 24 percent of agencies in Asia, and between 16 percent and 35 percent in Africa.
- Mammals and birds will disappear at a speed hundred times greater than that of nature.
- The water demand from agricultural use, industrial and domestic grow by 16 percent in the next two decades, particularly in developing countries, which will join the growing drought that will live in the Middle East, the Maghreb, northern China and large sections of India and South Africa.
- The water will be transformed into a focus of conflict, becasue of the increased demand, specially in China, India, Iran and Pakistan, which need large amounts for agriculture.
Internet Around the World
- In two decades, most of the media converge toward the platform of the Internet and interactive television.
People will occupy more hours on the network and grow as an advertising medium.
Internet will be accessible almost anywhere on earth, but the contents of the first level will be reduced to subscribers, there will be more control on the part of providers of information.
War and biological arms
Spends on defense will be twice that current, led by U.S.A. , while the biggest leap in terms of military power starring as China and India, which will move from importing arms to major exporters.
It is expected to increase civil wars and conflicts between states and terrorists, leading to displacement and refugees. Sensors and devices implanted in the body will help to combat biological war and the cyber war will become a reality.
Terrorism will become more sophisticated.
There will be proliferation of arms of mass destruction, ethnic conflicts, new forms of nationalism, computer attacks, pandemics and migration.
There will increase the risk of proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (nuclear, biological, chemical and radiological).
India and Pakistan will join to the countries that have declared having nuclear weapons (China, Russia, United States, France, India, Pakistan, United Kingdom and North Korea) , besides Iran, Israel, Libya and Syria.
We will live five more years
- Life expectancy will have risen from 67.3 years to 72.2 years.
- Japan will follow the lead with an average of 85.7 years.
- The global population aged 80 or over will be three times the current and 60 percent of them live in Asia.
- Women live longer than men, but the gap is narrower with a difference that will be between 4 and 6 years.
- Fertility rates in women under 20 and over 40 decline in almost all regions of the world.
- The number of undernourished (who consume less than 2,100 calories a day) will fall from 710 (current) to 460 million.
- We will not work more than 5 to 8 hours a week in office because it will be available from anywhere on the planet, even in an airplane.
- Most food and drinks to help sleep, to focus and improve the digestive system.
- Cars still will need oil but each day is more common for vehicles to use hydrogen to run.
Source: "El Tiempo" newspaper from Colombia
China is the world leader in 2030 under its accelerated economic development, concluded a study of the Forum of Young Global Leaders, composed by persons under 40 years with community responsibilities in different parts of the world, through an analysis report for the promoted by World Economic Forum (W.E.F.), which states that China will be located behind the United States, India and Russia, with significant loss of influence of Germany, France and Britain.
China is not ready to confront the crisis that population will live between 2030 and 2050, when the elderly will duplicate the childrens and the population reaches 1,465 million people, an official report warned today.
"In that decade China will have the dual challenge of an excessive population and an ageing population, which interact and will be a serious threat to social and economic development," said the study by the National Committee on Ageing.
"We must seize the opportunity before 2030. We can not afford to miss this golden opportunity," said Li, adding that the Government's response for ageing must be completed before this year.
The report was presented with a white book about aging, where the Government show as one of its priorities to create a system of care for the elderly, which is increasing 100 million every year.
A developing country with a social security system which covers only 17 percent of the workforce and where the model of capitalist growth has ended the tradition of respecting and caring for the elderly, so the task is complicated.
"Young chinese people should start to prepare economic, physically and psychologically for old age," Li warned.
JAXA hopes to launch a satellite into lunar orbit next year, followed by an unmanned spacecraft that will land on the Moon and a probe ship that will collect and return lunar samples.
Under the plan, astronauts would be sent to the Moon by around 2020 so that they will start construction of the base to be completed by 2030, the Kurokawa said.
JAXA earlier had given 2025 as the target date for a lunar base.
"The feasibility of the plan is unclear at this point as we need to gain understanding by the government and the Japanese people on our plan, but technologically it would be possible in a few decades," Kurokawa said.
"Exploring a frontier is always a mission of science. In addition, space programs have the potential to create cutting-edge technologies, particularly in the field of robotics," he said, explaining benefits of the program.
Japan's space program has been on a rebound with a series of satellite launches after an embarrassment in 2003, when JAXA had to abort a rocket carrying a spy satellite just 10 minutes after liftoff.